MAKING MONEY: The
most popular piece I've published in 40 years of writing these
Letters was entitled, "Rich Man, Poor Man." I have
had dozens of requests to run this piece again or for permission to
reprint it for various business organizations.
Making
money entails a lot more than predicting which way the stock or bond
markets are heading or trying to figure which stock or fund will double
over the
next few years. For the great majority of investors,
making money requires a plan, self-discipline and desire. I say, "for
the great majority of people" because if you're a Steven Spielberg or a
Bill Gates you don't
have to know about the Dow or the markets or about
yields or price/earnings ratios. You're a phenomenon in your own field,
and you're going to make big money as a by-product of your talent and
ability. But this kind of genius
is rare.
For the average investor, you and me, we're not geniuses so we have to have a financial plan.
In view of this, I offer below a few items that we must be aware of if we are serious about making money.
Rule 1: Compounding:
One of the most important lessons for living in the
modern world is that to survive you've got to have money. But to live
(survive) happily, you must have love, health (mental and
physical), freedom, intellectual
stimulation -- and money. When I taught my kids
about money, the first thing I taught them was the use of the "money
bible." What's the money bible? Simple, it's a volume of the compounding interest tables.
Compounding
is the royal road to riches. Compounding is the safe road, the sure
road, and fortunately, anybody can do it. To compound successfully you
need
the following: perseverance in order to keep you firmly on the savings path. You need intelligence in order to understand what you are doing and why. And you need a knowledge
of the mathematics tables in order to comprehend
the amazing rewards that will come to you if you faithfully follow the
compounding road. And, of course, you need time, time to allow the power of compounding to work for
you. Remember, compounding only works through time.
But
there are two catches in the compounding process. The first is obvious
-- compounding may involve sacrifice (you can't spend it and still save
it).
Second, compounding is boring -- b-o-r-i-n-g. Or I
should say it's boring until (after seven or eight years) the money
starts to pour in. Then, believe me, compounding becomes very
interesting. In fact, it becomes
downright fascinating!
In order to emphasize the power of compounding, I am including this extraordinary study, courtesy of Market Logic,
of Ft. Lauderdale, FL 33306. In this
study we assume that investor (B) opens an IRA at
age 19. For seven consecutive periods he puts $2,000 in his IRA at an
average growth rate of 10% (7% interest plus growth). After seven years
this fellow makes NO MORE
contributions -- he's finished.
A
second investor (A) makes no contributions until age 26 (this is the
age when investor B was finished with his contributions). Then A
continues faithfully
to contribute $2,000 every year until he's 65 (at
the same theoretical 10% rate).
Now
study the incredible results. B, who made his contributions earlier and
who made only seven contributions, ends up with MORE money than A, who
made 40
contributions but at a LATER TIME. The difference in
the two is that B had seven more early years of compounding than A. Those seven early years were worth more than all of A's 33 additional contributions.
This
is a study that I suggest you show to your kids. It's a study I've
lived by, and I can tell you, "It works." You can work your compounding
with
muni-bonds, with a good money market fund, with
T-bills or say with five-year T-notes.
|
Rule 2: DON'T LOSE MONEY:
This may sound naive, but believe me it
isn't. If you want to be wealthy, you must not lose
money, or I should say must not lose BIG money. Absurd rule, silly rule?
Maybe, but MOST PEOPLE LOSE MONEY in disastrous investments, gambling,
rotten business
deals, greed, poor timing. Yes, after almost five
decades of investing and talking to investors, I can tell you that most
people definitely DO lose money,
lose big time -- in the stock market, in options and
futures, in real estate, in bad loans, in mindless gambling, and in
their own business.
RULE 3: RICH MAN, POOR MAN: In
the investment world the wealthy
investor has one major advantage over the little
guy, the stock market amateur and the neophyte trader. The advantage
that the wealthy investor enjoys is that HE DOESN'T NEED THE MARKETS. I
can't begin to tell you what a
difference that makes, both in one's mental attitude
and in the way one actually handles one's money.
The wealthy investor doesn't need the markets, because he already has all the income he needs. He has money coming in via bonds, T-bills, money
market funds, stocks and real estate. In other words, the wealthy investor never feels pressured
to "make money" in the market.
The wealthy investor tends to be an expert on values.
When bonds are cheap and bond yields are irresistibly high, he buys
bonds. When stocks are on the
bargain table and stock yields are attractive, he
buys stocks. When real estate is a great value, he buys real estate.
When great art or fine jewelry or gold is
on the "give away" table, he buys art or diamonds or
gold. In other words, the wealthy investor puts his money where the
great
values are.
And
if no outstanding values are available, the wealthy investors waits. He
can afford to wait. He has money coming in daily, weekly, monthly. The
wealthy investor knows what he is looking for, and
he doesn't mind waiting months or even years for his next investment
(they call that patience).
But
what about the little guy? This fellow always feels pressured to "make
money." And in return he's always pressuring the
market to "do something" for him. But sadly, the market isn't
interested. When the little guy isn't buying
stocks offering 1% or 2% yields, he's off to Las
Vegas or Atlantic City trying to beat the house at roulette. Or he's
spending 20 bucks a week on lottery
tickets, or he's "investing" in some crackpot scheme
that his neighbor told him about (in strictest confidence, of course).
And
because the little guy is trying to force the market to do something
for him, he's a guaranteed loser. The little guy doesn't understand
values so he
constantly overpays. He doesn't comprehend the power
of compounding, and he doesn't understand money. He's never heard the
adage, "He who understands interest -- earns it. He who doesn't understand interest -- pays it."
The little guy is the typical American, and he's deeply in debt.
The
little guy is in hock up to his ears. As a result, he's always sweating
-- sweating to make payments on his house, his refrigerator, his car or
his lawn
mower. He's impatient, and he feels perpetually put
upon. He tells himself that he has to make money -- fast. And he dreams
of those "big, juicy
mega-bucks." In the end, the little guy wastes his
money in the market, or he loses his money gambling, or he dribbles it
away on senseless schemes. In
short, this "money-nerd" spends his life dashing up
the financial down-escalator.
But
here's the ironic part of it. If, from the beginning, the little guy
had adopted a strict policy of never spending more than he made, if he
had taken
his extra savings and compounded it in intelligent,
income-producing securities, then in due time he'd have money coming in
daily, weekly, monthly, just like the rich man. The little guy would
have become a financial
winner, instead of a pathetic loser.
RULE 4: VALUES:
The only time the average investor should stray outside
the basic compounding system is when a given market
offers outstanding value. I judge an investment to be a great value when
it offers (a) safety; (b)
an attractive return; and (c) a good chance of
appreciating in price. At all other times, the compounding route is
safer and probably a lot more profitable, at least in the long run.
Source: Dow Theory Letters
|
No comments:
Post a Comment